Monday, January 14, 2013

Outlook for 2013

As we hit mid January and the threat of the fiscal cliff is behind us. I feel that this is a good time to write a brief  post on the current market for the Metro area and state where I think we are heading. First and foremost, the real estate market is looking pretty darn good. Well, darn good for sellers that is . Not so much for home buyers who are facing a shortage of suitable homes to look at and a very competitive market in most jurisdictions. It is hard to believe but we are experiencing a critical shortage of listings on the market. We simply have very little inventory to offer home buyers. And, this shortage of homes for sale means that there will be pressure on home prices to go up. We are already seeing may full price and above price offers, along with multiple offers coming in. A well priced home that has been updated will not usually go unsold for more than a few days.

The improved market is visible everywhere around Washington DC and it's suburbs but some jurisdictions and price ranges are seeing it have a more dramatic effect. The best market is in the District and Montgomery County but even Prince Georges County which had been hit very hard by the downturn and featured a record number of foreclosures and distressed homes is finally beginning to turn.

There are a variety of reasons for the shortage of listings for sale. A lot of unsold homes were taken off the market and rented out by the owners. Many of these homes are now tied up in long term leases. Also, there are still a lot of  "underwater" homes out there and many homeowners who survived the downturn and do not have to sell will opt to wait for prices to go up before selling. I expect to see more homes on the market as the weather warms this year but also expect to see more buyers out there as our local economy continues to expand. For this reason I do not foresee listing shortage situation improving this year and predict that we will be in a good market for home sellers all year. And this means that home values will have to go up.

For a detailed report on the current market data click here.